The Financial Meltdown: Implications for Connected Health
Friday, October 17, 2008
| Thomas H. Lee, MD
About the author - Thomas H. Lee, MD, is Network President for Partners HealthCare System in Boston, and a Professor of Medicine at Harvard Medical School.
The turmoil in the financial markets is touching everyone’s lives, and is likely to have multiple lasting effects on healthcare – including Connected Health. The gloomy assessment that “Everything is going to be different from now on” may seem a bit dramatic, but there is good reason to believe that, in fact, everything will be different, and we will look back on September and October 2008 as a watershed moment.
First, the bad news – and there is plenty of it. The insight that we just don’t have enough money is sinking in, and that inevitably translates into less money for healthcare. The $1 trillion of taxpayer funds that must be committed to preserve the financial industry means $1 trillion that is not available to fund Medicare and Medicaid. Hospitals and physicians already tend to lose money on patients who are insured by these government payers, and those losses are only going to increase.
Providers are not going to be able to shift these losses on to commercial insurers, because employers were already feeling burdened by rising healthcare costs. Now they are also feeling the pinch of a slowdown in their business as consumers grow cautious and stop spending. And these employers are having difficulty borrowing money to invest in innovations that might allow them to increase their revenue.
Hospitals faced with inadequate payments from government and commercial insurers are also getting hit financially from other directions. Investment income from their endowments have, well, disappeared. Some hospitals have been borrowing and then investing these funds in the stock market. That approach worked well during the good years, but exposes them to the same risks as those of home-owners whose property values have declined below their mortgages.
So where is the good news? For people who have been working to develop a better healthcare system that new models of care are tried and adopted – well, there is going to be more openness to these models than ever in the past. Fee for service payments are going to be constrained, and be insufficient to sustain hospitals and physician practices. Employers and insurance companies are going to be desperate to try new approaches that keep patients healthier at lower costs. And patients will be ready to try systems that help them reduce their visits to the doctor.
This openness to change should ultimately help the healthcare system improve both in quality and efficiency. I am actually more confident that we will be successful in creating these improvements in healthcare – for the simple reason that we have no choice. The economic turmoil is forcing the issue. The months ahead are going to be very stressful, but new models of care like group visits, electronic patient portals, and Connected Health in general are going to get very long, serious looks – once everyone stops staring at their 401k statements and begins focusing on the work ahead.
Thomas H. Lee